Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.200024 0.222280 0.245248 0.270669 0.297964 0.326335 0.358003
2024-12-29 0.174217 0.205042 0.238140 0.276144 0.318400 0.363764 0.415971
2025-01-05 0.152135 0.188489 0.228908 0.276810 0.331650 0.392103 0.463400
2025-01-12 0.134192 0.174407 0.220578 0.276870 0.342995 0.417569 0.507370
2025-01-19 0.118507 0.161261 0.211863 0.275203 0.351371 0.439042 0.546566
2025-01-26 0.107518 0.152639 0.207544 0.277903 0.364270 0.465450 0.591501
2025-02-02 0.100372 0.148058 0.207541 0.285358 0.382594 0.498238 0.644225
2025-02-09 0.091295 0.140134 0.202624 0.286101 0.392274 0.520435 0.684319
2025-02-16 0.085488 0.135998 0.202108 0.292049 0.408211 0.550218 0.733799
2025-02-23 0.080884 0.133072 0.202833 0.299346 0.425740 0.582024 0.786035
2025-03-02 0.073333 0.125384 0.196644 0.297098 0.430687 0.597938 0.818575
2025-03-09 0.067666 0.119938 0.193102 0.298019 0.439486 0.618581 0.857058
2025-03-16 0.061532 0.113465 0.187922 0.296668 0.445459 0.636033 0.892273
2025-03-23 0.058097 0.110809 0.187936 0.302314 0.460711 0.665530 0.943100
2025-03-30 0.053523 0.105996 0.184511 0.302895 0.468984 0.685942 0.982431
2025-04-06 0.049210 0.101236 0.180851 0.302878 0.476265 0.705001 1.020112
2025-04-13 0.044836 0.095998 0.176137 0.301049 0.480831 0.720364 1.053009
2025-04-20 0.041959 0.093057 0.174736 0.303900 0.491847 0.744361 1.097405
2025-04-27 0.040455 0.092382 0.176786 0.311835 0.510092 0.778249 1.155188
2025-05-04 0.037519 0.088898 0.174174 0.312616 0.518067 0.798234 1.194634
2025-05-11 0.035941 0.087768 0.175256 0.318953 0.534043 0.829255 1.249087
2025-05-18 0.034745 0.087254 0.177283 0.326728 0.552170 0.863389 1.308023
2025-05-25 0.031736 0.082998 0.172875 0.324329 0.555318 0.876796 1.339040